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The collective safeguarding of physical and intellectual basic rights that Aristotle recognized as the foundation of every polity, and the ethically concerned liberalism of Adam Smith are guiding the logic of our economic activity.

And finally, the vision of a secular, active, multilingual life elevated by Shakespeare, Cervantes, and Goethe as the core of what it means to be human accurately describes our cultural existence today as nascent Europeans.

We are not dealing here with poetry or philosophical pipe dreams, but rather an empirically demonstrable reality. The European Union in the year represents a world-historical optimum.

Never before have million people united under a single political order been better off. Never before have they been as free, as healthy, or as well educated; and never before have they been as peaceful.

To be sure, it is the systemic improbability of this state of affairs that lends a certain credence to the current pessimism about the future.

To formulate a prognosis for European development within the global context we must reconsider two common assumptions about the future of globalization.

First, the process of the compression of global time and space as the formative feature of recent globalization will not continue. Recent decades have been marked by a compression of global time, within which each event can be chronologically observed, communicated, and evaluated at any location throughout the world in real time.

This panoptic process is now complete and is irreversible. However, it is difficult to see what technologies, except maybe teleporting, could contribute to a more connected and synchronized world.

The last thirty years have also had a world-historical significance with regard to the compression of global space: This process will not just slow, it will be reversed.

By the social, political, and economic significance of spatial distance will have increased. Put simply, the world will become bigger again.

This bigger world is the result of the second factor that will shape the future. The past thirty years have been a period of perceived resource abundance, particularly with regard to oil as the main resource of the global economy.

It is oil that has greased capitalist expansion. By contrast, the coming thirty years -- an uncertain transitional phase away from the oil economy -- will be marked by a deficit of resources and a logic of scarcity.

This will apply not only to oil and gas but also to more elementary resources such as food and, in particular, water. The ominous, globally shared perception of scarcity will allow an economic logic of protection to appear rational.

Together, greater spatial distance and no smaller temporal distance will lead to a partial reversal of globalization. Instead of a globalized world economy that crosses continental barriers with ease, we will see continental autarchic zones being formed that will be shaped by the military defense of the basic resources available in each zone.

We will thus see the logic of imperial expansion replaced by an aspiration to autarchic inclusion already the EU strategy.

The internal market of each zone will reassume economic primacy. This process does not have to end in war.

It could well take an ordered course and lead to a multipolar equilibrium, the stability of which -- like that of the Cold War -- is guaranteed by an awareness of what military options are not available.

Based on these assumptions, two conclusions can be drawn for Europe. First, strengthening the EU confederation remains the only rational way forward, although this only makes sense if it entails the formation of a nuclear armed European army.

Second, no comparable state formation is better equipped and structured to deal with the new era of autarchic zones than Europe. In cultural terms, Europe is equipped with a plurality of languages that lends itself to innovation as well as a global lingua franca: English though by Spanish will be the European Union's second main language.

It is not burdened by any politically effective fundamentalisms, and Europe's communications and transportation infrastructure leads the world.

The thesis of a relative optimum also holds in demographic terms. Overall European demographic decline is not critical. Shortages can be supplemented -- because Europe can afford it -- by highly selective immigration policies.

And European children born today, who will constitute the core of our labor force in , are the world's healthiest. New calculations as to the age of the construction indicate, however, that the earliest parts of the wall might have been built by the Frisians and not by the Danes.

Archeologists now think the foundation stone might have been laid as early as the 7th century. The Frisians, who lived on the west coast of what is now Denmark and on a number of islands in the North Sea, were fighting for supremacy in the region with three other peoples: In the end, however, it was the Danes who emerged victorious.

According to contemporary records, King Göttrik of Denmark ordered in that the border of his empire with that of the Saxons be fortified. But why make such an effort?

To what end did the Vikings pile up millions of tons of rocks on their border? Comparative structures like border fortifications built by the Romans or the Great Wall of China were built to protect them from marauding hordes.

But in the case of the Danevirke, the builders themselves were the ones known for their pillaging ways. In the 8th century, Denmark had neither cobblestone roads nor houses made of stone.

The pagan king was guarded by fanatic warriors wearing animal costumes -- so-called "berserkers. Only their long boats were state-of-the-art -- fast and light but easily navigable.

They allowed the Danes to develop a formidable network of trading routes. They plied Russian rivers all the way to Byzantium and sailed the North Atlantic to far-away Iceland, Greenland and even the northern reaches of North America.

But there was an Achilles heel in this far-flung trading empire, and that was at Hedeby. In order for goods from the east to be shipped to the west, they had to cross the narrow strip of land at the base of present-day Denmark.

Traders would sail inland on the Schlei Inlet, but when they got to Hedeby, their wares were offloaded and carted overland to the Treene River, 18 kilometers away.

Only there could the goods be reloaded onto boats and sailed into the North Sea. For the duration of this short overland trek, the valuable goods -- including gold from Byzantium, bear pelts from Novgorod and even statues of Buddha from India -- were open to attack from the mainland.

In order to protect this important trade artery, archeologists now believe, a bulwark of earth, stone and bricks was constructed.

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There, one can marvel at a giant, kilometer mile wall which runs through the entire state of Schleswig-Holstein. The massive construction, called the Danevirke -- "work of the Danes" -- is considered the largest earthwork in northern Europe.

Archeologists have now taken a closer look at part of the construction -- a three-meter-thick 10 feet wall from the 8th century near Hedeby known as Haithabu in German.

It is constructed entirely out of stones collected from the surrounding region. Some of them are only as big as a fist, while others weigh as much as kilograms pounds.

At a press conference Friday, Tummuscheit's team announced a further find -- one that they are calling a "sensation. According to old writings, "horsemen and carts" used to stream through the gate, called "Wiglesdor.

For a century, archeologists have been dreaming of finding this gate between Denmark and Charlemagne's empire. Experts knew its approximate location, but archeologists were not allowed to dig: The energy company E.

The new find is certain to attract significant attention above Germany's northern border as well -- the Danevirke is seen as a national treasure in Denmark.

New calculations as to the age of the construction indicate, however, that the earliest parts of the wall might have been built by the Frisians and not by the Danes.

Archeologists now think the foundation stone might have been laid as early as the 7th century. The Frisians, who lived on the west coast of what is now Denmark and on a number of islands in the North Sea, were fighting for supremacy in the region with three other peoples: In the end, however, it was the Danes who emerged victorious.

According to contemporary records, King Göttrik of Denmark ordered in that the border of his empire with that of the Saxons be fortified.

But why make such an effort? To what end did the Vikings pile up millions of tons of rocks on their border? Comparative structures like border fortifications built by the Romans or the Great Wall of China were built to protect them from marauding hordes.

But in the case of the Danevirke, the builders themselves were the ones known for their pillaging ways. To formulate a prognosis for European development within the global context we must reconsider two common assumptions about the future of globalization.

First, the process of the compression of global time and space as the formative feature of recent globalization will not continue. Recent decades have been marked by a compression of global time, within which each event can be chronologically observed, communicated, and evaluated at any location throughout the world in real time.

This panoptic process is now complete and is irreversible. However, it is difficult to see what technologies, except maybe teleporting, could contribute to a more connected and synchronized world.

The last thirty years have also had a world-historical significance with regard to the compression of global space: This process will not just slow, it will be reversed.

By the social, political, and economic significance of spatial distance will have increased. Put simply, the world will become bigger again.

This bigger world is the result of the second factor that will shape the future. The past thirty years have been a period of perceived resource abundance, particularly with regard to oil as the main resource of the global economy.

It is oil that has greased capitalist expansion. By contrast, the coming thirty years -- an uncertain transitional phase away from the oil economy -- will be marked by a deficit of resources and a logic of scarcity.

This will apply not only to oil and gas but also to more elementary resources such as food and, in particular, water. The ominous, globally shared perception of scarcity will allow an economic logic of protection to appear rational.

Together, greater spatial distance and no smaller temporal distance will lead to a partial reversal of globalization. Instead of a globalized world economy that crosses continental barriers with ease, we will see continental autarchic zones being formed that will be shaped by the military defense of the basic resources available in each zone.

We will thus see the logic of imperial expansion replaced by an aspiration to autarchic inclusion already the EU strategy. The internal market of each zone will reassume economic primacy.

This process does not have to end in war. It could well take an ordered course and lead to a multipolar equilibrium, the stability of which -- like that of the Cold War -- is guaranteed by an awareness of what military options are not available.

Based on these assumptions, two conclusions can be drawn for Europe. First, strengthening the EU confederation remains the only rational way forward, although this only makes sense if it entails the formation of a nuclear armed European army.

Second, no comparable state formation is better equipped and structured to deal with the new era of autarchic zones than Europe.

In cultural terms, Europe is equipped with a plurality of languages that lends itself to innovation as well as a global lingua franca: English though by Spanish will be the European Union's second main language.

It is not burdened by any politically effective fundamentalisms, and Europe's communications and transportation infrastructure leads the world.

The thesis of a relative optimum also holds in demographic terms. Overall European demographic decline is not critical. Shortages can be supplemented -- because Europe can afford it -- by highly selective immigration policies.

And European children born today, who will constitute the core of our labor force in , are the world's healthiest. Furthermore, Europe is optimally suited to the autarchic era in ecological-economic terms.

As an internal market, Europe has the capacity to establish an equilibrium that ensures relative prosperity. It has an agricultural system that has been sustainably diversified over millennia again, as an exclusive autarchic zone and that will continue to have access to sufficient water.

And whatever the concrete effects of climate change prove to be in the coming half-century, a united Europe will as a whole be the least disadvantaged by them.

Not even Europe's cultural self-characterization as one world power among many will need adjustment. For the United States, the former transatlantic guardian, things look very different.

It faces the prospect of decisive and painful adjustments.

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